Impact of Russia's Invasion of Ukraine on Nuclear Deterrence

TOPIC SPONSOR: 8 AF

As the fight in Ukraine is well into its second year and Russia has taken staggering losses in conventional capability, most notably tanks and APC, and their performance on the battlefield has not measured up to the early analysis of how the war would go, does this push them to be more likely to use nuclear weapons in the future?

• Bowron, James, "Russian Battlefield Losses: Why Russia Will Rely on Nuclear Threats When Dealing with the West in the Future," Russia RTF, 2023, 35 pgs.
• Waldrip, Erik, "Has the Ukraine War Influenced China's Calculus for an Invasion of Taiwan?" GCPME thesis, 2024, 48 pgs.